Game Over Gauge — 2025-12-14 — 80.7% (Severe)Severe

Generated automatically from Game Over Gauge data — 2025-12-14T22:54:44.219100Z UTC

Overall risk is 80.7% (Severe). The financial composite is 52.2% (Elevated), while the geopolitical composite is 66.4% (Severe).

Market Insight: Severe stress dominates; capital preservation critical. Recent adverse moves add 12.0 penalty points. Market regime: Mixed. Geopolitical tensions add 66% risk premium. Trend penalty: 12.0. Key moves: Gold: 2.7% ↑ (penalty: 12.0)

Top geopolitical stressors

Rising Threat of Targeted Extremist Violence in Western Nations (23.7% weight) French Opposition Delays EU-Mercosur Trade Deal Vote (21.1% weight) Persistent Threat to US/UN Personnel in Conflict Zones (Syria/Sudan) (19.7% weight) US Sanctions Lifting on Belarus and Diplomatic Concessions (18.4% weight) Anticipation of Verdict in High-Profile Hong Kong National Security Case (17.1% weight)

Key market indicators

IndicatorLatest5D ΔScoreWeight
US 10Y Treasury Yield 4.14 0.03 61.10 12.00%
US 10Y Real Yield 1.89 0.04 69.50 12.00%
High Yield Credit Spread 2.88 0.00 7.70 14.00%
VIX Volatility Index 14.85 -0.93 18.30 10.00%
10Y Term Premium 0.53 0.08 51.00 7.00%
Bitcoin/USD 88279.43 -965.34 100.00 10.00%
Gold Spot Price 4328.30 115.40 100.00 10.00%
WTI Crude Oil 57.44 -2.64 0.00 8.00%
Dollar Index 98.39 -0.60 0.00 7.00%
S&P 500 Index 6827.41 -42.99 100.00 10.00%

Market Regime Analysis

Primary regime: mixed (confidence: 0.29)

Risk Off: 0.29 Inflation: 0.26 Growth: 0.11

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