Game Over Gauge — 2025-12-12 — 47.7% (Risky)Risky
Generated automatically from Game Over Gauge data — 2025-12-12T10:28:28Z UTC
Overall risk is 47.7% (Risky). The financial composite is 29.7% (Cautious), while the geopolitical composite is 71.9% (Severe).
Top geopolitical stressors
Stalled Gaza Peace Efforts and Extreme Humanitarian Deterioration (20.2% weight)
US Sanctions and Maritime Seizure Targeting Venezuelan Oil Trade (19.1% weight)
Risk of Regional Conflagration due to DR Congo Violence (17.0% weight)
Key market indicators
| Indicator | Latest | 5D Δ | Score | Weight |
|---|
| US 10Y Treasury Yield (Nominal, %) |
4.13 |
-0.01 |
36.22 |
20.00% |
| US 10Y TIPS Real Yield (%, CPI-adjusted) |
1.88 |
0.00 |
62.67 |
25.00% |
| US High Yield OAS (%, BofA ICE) |
2.91 |
0.06 |
0.00 |
30.00% |
| VIX (Implied Volatility) |
15.77 |
0.36 |
11.42 |
15.00% |
| 10Y Term Premium |
0.53 |
0.08 |
51.09 |
10.00% |
| Geopolitical Composite |
71.88 |
n/a |
71.88 |
5.00% |
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