Game Over Gauge — 2025-12-09 — 47.5% (Risky)Risky
Generated automatically from Game Over Gauge data — 2025-12-09T10:30:19Z UTC
Overall risk is 47.5% (Risky). The financial composite is 29.3% (Cautious), while the geopolitical composite is 72.5% (Severe).
Top geopolitical stressors
Protracted Ukraine Conflict and High Barrier to Peace (17.3% weight)
Escalating Civilian Targeting in Sudan Conflict (16.3% weight)
Heightened Israel-Syria Cross-Border Conflict and Humanitarian Friction (15.3% weight)
Key market indicators
| Indicator | Latest | 5D Δ | Score | Weight |
|---|
| US 10Y Treasury Yield (Nominal, %) |
4.14 |
0.12 |
36.44 |
20.00% |
| US 10Y TIPS Real Yield (%, CPI-adjusted) |
1.88 |
0.09 |
62.67 |
25.00% |
| US High Yield OAS (%, BofA ICE) |
2.85 |
-0.07 |
0.00 |
30.00% |
| VIX (Implied Volatility) |
15.41 |
-0.94 |
10.33 |
15.00% |
| 10Y Term Premium |
0.45 |
-0.02 |
48.36 |
10.00% |
| Geopolitical Composite |
72.55 |
n/a |
72.55 |
5.00% |
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