Game Over Gauge — 2025-12-03 — 48.3% (Risky)Risky
Generated automatically from Game Over Gauge data — 2025-12-03T10:29:07Z UTC
Overall risk is 48.3% (Risky). The financial composite is 29.7% (Cautious), while the geopolitical composite is 74.3% (Severe).
Top geopolitical stressors
Israeli Coalition Crisis over Ultra-Orthodox Conscription Bill (20.4% weight)
Planned ICE Operation and Targeted Immigration Rhetoric in US (18.2% weight)
Demand for War Crimes Probe Following RSF Attack on Sudan Refugee Camp (17.1% weight)
Key market indicators
| Indicator | Latest | 5D Δ | Score | Weight |
|---|
| US 10Y Treasury Yield (Nominal, %) |
4.09 |
0.09 |
35.33 |
20.00% |
| US 10Y TIPS Real Yield (%, CPI-adjusted) |
1.85 |
0.08 |
61.67 |
25.00% |
| US High Yield OAS (%, BofA ICE) |
2.94 |
-0.06 |
0.00 |
30.00% |
| VIX (Implied Volatility) |
17.24 |
0.05 |
15.88 |
15.00% |
| 10Y Term Premium |
0.45 |
-0.02 |
48.36 |
10.00% |
| Geopolitical Composite |
74.34 |
n/a |
74.34 |
5.00% |
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