Game Over Gauge — 2025-11-26 — 49.0% (Risky)Risky
Generated automatically from Game Over Gauge data — 2025-11-26T10:28:12Z UTC
Overall risk is 49.0% (Risky). The financial composite is 31.5% (Cautious), while the geopolitical composite is 70.1% (Severe).
Top geopolitical stressors
Intensification of Cross-Strait Military Buildup (20.4% weight)
Escalation Risk from Potential Western Military Deployment in Ukraine, offset by Diplomatic Talks (18.2% weight)
Rising Instability and Proxy Violence in Sub-Saharan Africa (17.1% weight)
Key market indicators
| Indicator | Latest | 5D Δ | Score | Weight |
|---|
| US 10Y Treasury Yield (Nominal, %) |
4.04 |
-0.09 |
34.22 |
20.00% |
| US 10Y TIPS Real Yield (%, CPI-adjusted) |
1.81 |
-0.05 |
60.33 |
25.00% |
| US High Yield OAS (%, BofA ICE) |
3.15 |
-0.02 |
2.50 |
30.00% |
| VIX (Implied Volatility) |
20.52 |
-3.14 |
25.82 |
15.00% |
| 10Y Term Premium |
0.47 |
-0.04 |
49.05 |
10.00% |
| Geopolitical Composite |
70.09 |
n/a |
70.09 |
5.00% |
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